Seth — @sethortizfx / TradingView SethTrades12 — runs a discretionary
Smart-Money-Concepts playbook on a single instrument, wrapped in a mechanical fixed-risk exit engine.
Below: what the charts prove, what the 436-signal dataset proves, and a build sheet to replicate it.
The question was: does he use support/resistance, supply/demand, volume profile, or indicators?
We recovered seven of his own annotated TradingView charts. The answer is unambiguous — and there is not a single indicator
on any of them.
His own charts
Every snapshot is naked price action on Vantage gold. The right edge is only a price scale —
no volume histogram, no VWAP, no oscillator sub-panel. The toolkit repeats on every chart: a rectangle zone,
a Fibonacci grid, a position / R:R box, and a projected retrace-then-continue arrow.
BUY XAUUSD · 15m · May 18
Fib retracement + demand zone at the 0.5. His note: “…4530 SUPPORT… a lot of IMBALANCE up top… -GWOLF”
SELL XAUUSD · 15m · Jul 9
Fib + order block + 1.618 extension target. “VALID RE-ENTRY 4133-31 IF IT RETRACES — @sethortizfx on IG”
SELL XAUUSD · 5m · Jul 9
Liquidity marked “$$$” above the highs — swept, then short from the order block back down.
BUY XAUUSD · 30m · Jun 8
Buy the 0.618 golden pocket sitting inside a demand zone; supply zone drawn overhead as the target.
Higher-timeframe horizontal demand zone; entry (3985) sits right on the zone edge for the retrace.
Read across the timeframes: 5m, 15m, 30m, 1h all appear. He builds bias and draws zones on the
higher timeframe, then drops to the 5–15m to time the entry into the zone — classic multi-timeframe SMC.
The mechanism · 7 parts
A discretionary entry read, bolted onto a mechanical risk-and-exit machine.
1
One instrument, mastered
Gold and almost nothing else. He knows XAUUSD’s session rhythm, volatility and level structure cold instead of spreading thin.
378 of 436 signals XAUUSD (87%) · +USOIL 12% · a token few NAS100/BTC
2
Zones + Fib + liquidity — not indicators
Entries are reactions to supply/demand order blocks, the 0.5–0.618 fib golden pocket,
horizontal S/R, and liquidity sweeps / imbalance (FVG). Zero indicators on any chart.
Confirmed on 7 annotated charts · his words: “support”, “imbalance”, “re-entry if it retraces”, “$$$”
3
Fixed-risk engine
Every gold trade risks a near-constant ~$8 (6–11 band), stop placed at a round dollar just past the zone.
Constant R is why the equity curve is a straight line and no single loss dents it.
Median SL $8.0 · 98% of stops land on a whole dollar · one loss ≈ −1R, every time
4
Enter on the retrace into the zone
71% of trades use a fixed $2 entry band (limit orders waiting for price to return into the zone). The rest
are market fills when price is already reacting or after a liquidity grab.
Entry zone width = exactly $2 on 280/280 range trades · 74% of entries on a whole dollar
5
Pyramid into momentum
When a zone holds and price runs, he adds more positions in the same direction — each with its own tight
stop — rather than fading. This is trend continuation, not mean reversion.
17 of 25 rapid bursts are same-direction adds · e.g. 4 stacked BUYs 3986→3995 in the NY session
6
5-target scale-out + manual runner
A laddered exit: bank a fast 0.33R at TP1, ~breakeven the book by TP2, then let a residual run to
2.6R / 5R / 10R. But his single most-used exit is a discretionary manual close into strength.
Manual Close = 171 of 394 exits → 167 wins / 2 losses · TP ladder ≈ 0.33 / 1.0 / 2.6 / 5.0 / 10.2 R
7
Session filter + tilt guardrail
Trades cluster in the NY (13–18 UTC) and Asia (00–04) windows and skip the London
morning chop. The account even auto-cools-down after two stop-outs in two hours.
NY 83% win / best net · Asia 79% · London-morning 05–12 avoided · “Auto-cooldown: 2 SL hits within 2h”
Why the data proves the method
Each statistical fingerprint in the 436-signal dataset lines up with a specific SMC behaviour on the charts:
Entry band = exactly $2, always→Order-block tolerance. He brackets the zone edge, not a variable S/D height
71% limit orders→Waiting for the retrace into the zone / golden pocket
Stops fixed $8, 98% round→Risk-first, not structure-stop. Invalidation rounded just past the zone
Entries biased to round $10s→Zones + S/R sit at psychological levels
Same-direction burst adds→Pyramiding as price leaves the zone with momentum
TP5 far + often manual-closed→Target = next imbalance / HTF zone (“going to 5000”)
Replication build sheet
The spec to forward-test — not financial advice, a hypothesis to validate.
Instrument
XAUUSD only to start (add USOIL once stable)
Timeframes
Bias & zones on 1h / 30m · entry timing on 15m / 5m
Setup
Mark demand/supply order blocks; draw fib on the impulse; wait for retrace into the 0.5–0.618 zone (bonus: after a liquidity sweep)
Entry
Limit order in a $2 band at the zone edge; market only if already reacting
Direction
Continuation in the impulse direction · no long/short bias (52/48 split)
Stop
Fixed ~$8 (round dollar) just beyond zone invalidation · risk one fixed R
Targets
TP1 +$3 · TP2 +$8 · TP3 +$25 · TP4 +$50 · TP5 +$90 → scale out; bank ⅓ at TP1, move rest toward BE by TP2
Management
Manual close the runner into the next zone/imbalance when momentum stalls · add on continuation
Sessions
Trade 00–04 & 13–18 UTC · skip 05–12 · Mon–Thu heavy
Circuit breaker
Stop for the day after 2 stop-outs within 2h
What to look into next
The discretionary layer — which zone he trusts and when he closes the runner — is the part the
dataset can’t fully expose. To close the gap:
01
Build our own gold history. The platform only serves ~2 days of candles. Pull full 5m/15m/1h XAUUSD (Dukascopy / MetaApi) and align all 436 entries to prove zone-touch and fib-level hit rates.
02
Quantify the manual-close rule. 167W/2L is the real alpha. Correlate close timestamps vs price to find the exhaustion trigger (candles-in-trade, % of TP5, reaction at next zone).
03
News overlap. NY 13:30–15:00 UTC = US data / equity open. Tag entries against the economic calendar — is he trading the reaction or avoiding the release?
04
Pyramid risk cap. Does stacking 3–4 positions mean 3–4R of live exposure, or is total risk capped? This decides the real drawdown profile.
05
Fill realism. Backtest with true Vantage spread + slippage; the API tracks slippage_pts. Copying market entries in fast NY moves is where edge leaks.
06
Benchmark the house. Sample the other 10 providers (Fxedge 547 signals, kingfkg 352) — is the zone+fib style g_wolf’s own, or the platform’s trained template?
07
Follow the source.@sethortizfx (IG) and SethTrades12 (TradingView) publish live reads — cross-reference his public calls against the signal log for entry-logic ground truth.
Reality check: the mechanical half (instrument, fixed risk, sessions, TP ladder, cooldown)
is fully copyable today. The discretionary half (reading which zone holds, when to pyramid, when to manually close) is a skill,
not a parameter — that’s the part worth forward-testing before committing capital.